Under the Heading Giving the Devil his Due.
President Trump has potentially achieved two things no President has ever done before. He’s created an opportunity for the formal end of the Korean War and the Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.
But, as history shows us, this is not the first time this has been tried. Let’s hope the formal negotiations come to a swift, successful, and verifiable conclusion.
As Mark Twain (allegedly) once said, “History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes” We can turn to history for a perspective on negotiations with the Hermit Kingdom.
The number of agreements with North Korea that have been successful.
*(The Armistice ending open hostilities of the Korean War. Technically, the war is still on-going.)
The number of agreements, in particular, those seeking to prevent the nuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, that have succeeded.
*The number of agreements made, and broken, by the North Korean are too numerous to count.
This piece from the Arms Control Association (www.armscontrol.org) gives an interesting chronological perspective on negotiations and agreements with North Korea. I’d include it here, but it would run to almost forty pages.
Click here for the full article https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/dprkchron
If I were inclined to bet, I’d say the odds ain’t good for the world’s greatest dealmaker. There is hope, and we all should embrace it in the interest of world stability, but the hope is tainted by the reality of this administration.
All we have so far is our unilateral decision to end joint US-South Korean military exercises (a decision that surprised both South Korea and our own Pentagon and Defense Department.)
I suppose Kim Jong-Un can argue the first step to the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula would be the withdrawal of US forces. He seems to have maneuvered us into the first stages without giving much up except an offer to continue talking. (Remember, the peace talks at Panmunjom took two years to reach a conclusion that paused the Korean War in 1953 with a promise of a formal end that has never happened.)
Somehow, in the last few weeks, our new BFF is Kim Jong-Un and North Korea and our new worst enemy is Pierre Trudeau and Canada. This is the frightening reality and mindset of those who are negotiating this agreement.
A success here would be a major accomplishment for this administration. A failure here will make the Iran Nuclear Agreement look like an unconditional surrender by Iran. If it does succeed, we can move all those troops from the 38th parallel and put them on the Canadian Border.